January 14, 2026

2025 Economic Highlights: A Year of Volatility and Innovation

Walking a thin line

2025 Economic Highlights: A Year of Volatility and Innovation

The end of one year and beginning of another is a natural time of reflection and assessment. As far as 2025 economic highlights go, all I can say is – what a balancing act! It was a year defined by a constant tension between caution, volatility, and innovation. Economic changes occur constantly, but 2025 saw several large-scale shifts that will reverberate for years to come.

Policy Shifts and Market Uncertainty

The year began with a new President and a flood of new policies. One of the most impactful 2025 economic highlights was the implementation of significant tariffs. While initial levies were later reduced through pauses and agreements, the resulting uncertainty caused major disruptions. Conversely, notable deregulation and other changes enhanced growth potential in specific sectors.

State Legislative Changes and Development

As states sharpened their development strategies to stay competitive, the 2025 legislative sessions signaled important changes for business leaders. The game changed as states overhauled incentive programs and local governments shifted priorities. From tax credits to infrastructure incentives, these changes presented both new opportunities and significant challenges for location strategies.

The Housing Market and Labor Mobility

Fewer Americans were on the move in 2025. This was driven by:

  • Professional Factors: Lower job openings and fewer workers quitting.

  • Housing Challenges: High housing costs and mortgage rates made many unable or unwilling to move.

  • Historical Lows: Following a 30-year low in existing home sales in 2024, 2025 showed little improvement.

GDP Fluctuations and Manufacturing

The US gross domestic product (GDP) saw extreme “twists and turns.” In the first quarter, GDP decreased for the first time since the pandemic, driven by a surge in imports to “beat the clock” on tariffs. However, the third quarter saw a surprising 4.3% increase. Despite this growth, manufacturing job losses remained a significant lowlight, largely due to the ripple effects of trade policies.

Technological Growth and Infrastructure

Artificial intelligence continued to impact virtually every industry. While AI is expected to create more jobs than it destroys in the long term, 2025 was defined by significant disruption. A major bright spot among the 2025 economic highlights was the ongoing investment in the infrastructure needed to support this technological evolution.

Environmental Progress and Immigration

  • Emissions: US CO2 emissions fell by 20% from 2005 levels, a major win for the environment despite higher energy usage.

  • Labor Force: A substantial downturn in legal immigration and more restrictive policies adversely affected various industries, as foreign-born workers typically account for nearly all US labor force expansion.

Conclusion: A Year of Resilience

From government shutdowns to geopolitical conflicts, 2025 was quite a ride. The defining thread of the year was that resilience and agility were non-negotiable. Ultimately, these 2025 economic highlights show a year defined by risk management paired with bold moves in technology, talent, and operational resilience.

These are just a few of the changes that shaped 2025. What stood out most to you? How are you planning to adapt in 2026?

Share your thoughts—I’m always interested in how others are navigating this landscape. 

The information contained herein is general in nature and is not intended and should not be construed as legal, accounting, or tax advice or opinion provided by Ashmore Consulting LLC to the reader. The reader is also cautioned that this material may not be applicable to, or suitable for, the reader’s specific circumstances or needs and may require consideration of non-tax and other tax factors if any action is to be contemplated. The reader should contact Ashmore Consulting LLC or another tax professional prior to taking any action based upon this information. Ashmore Consulting LLC assumes no obligation to inform the reader of any changes in tax laws or other factors that could affect the information contained herein.